Archive for the ‘predictions’ Category
Tags: agrarian society, betterment, comparisons, history, modernization, politics, quality of life, technology
Tags: disillusionment, enlightenment, innovation, journalism, productivity, reporting, technology, trigger
This short article makes one think. For one, if you define technology to include any technique or tool, computer based or not, you realize that there are some interesting patterns connected with new educational perspectives, new research implications, etc.
Excerpt from webpage:
How Do Hype Cycles Work? (http://www.gartner.com/technology/research/methodologies/hype-cycle.jsp)
Each Hype Cycle drills down into the five key phases of a technology’s life cycle.
Technology Trigger: A potential technology breakthrough kicks things off. Early proof-of-concept stories and media interest trigger significant publicity. Often no usable products exist and commercial viability is unproven.
Peak of Inflated Expectations: Early publicity produces a number of success stories—often accompanied by scores of failures. Some companies take action; many do not.
Trough of Disillusionment: Interest wanes as experiments and implementations fail to deliver. Producers of the technology shake out or fail. Investments continue only if the surviving providers improve their products to the satisfaction of early adopters.
Slope of Enlightenment: More instances of how the technology can benefit the enterprise start to crystallize and become more widely understood. Second- and third-generation products appear from technology providers. More enterprises fund pilots; conservative companies remain cautious.
Plateau of Productivity: Mainstream adoption starts to take off. Criteria for assessing provider viability are more clearly defined. The technology’s broad market applicability and relevance are clearly paying off.
Tags: closed mindsets, common core resource, discussion, dystopia, negative attitudes, open mindset, positive attitude, predicting the future, the Bible as literature, topics, utopia
Our hunger for crisis is breeding dystopian narcissism.
This is a powerful piece. This could be useful as a common core resource that could also energize a discussion on topics like utopia/dystopia, open/closed mindsets, positive/negative attitudes, exploring the possibilities of predicting the future, even the Bible (as literature).
See on chronicle.com